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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-10 13:00

Empoli – Palermo

Home 28% 3.6 fair
Draw 26% 3.85 fair
Away 46% 2.16 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Empoli – Palermo
FINAL Actual Result 2–4 Empoli – Palermo
Expected Goals2.55
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 27.9% → 27.8% -0.1 pp
Draw 25.7% → 26.0% +0.2 pp
Away 46.3% → 46.2% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 46.7% → 46.6% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 50.5% → 50.7% +0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.55 → 2.55 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.96 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.92 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.8% 3.6 —
26.0% 3.85 —
46.2% 2.16 —
53.8% 1.86 —
72.2% 1.39 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Half-time result

17.9% 5.58 —
46.6% 2.15 —
35.5% 2.82 —

Half-time double chance

64.5% 1.55 —
82.1% 1.22 —
53.4% 1.87 —

Both halves

5.2% 19.34 —

HT/FT

12.4% 8.07 —
3.7% 26.88 —
13.3% 7.52 —
16.4% 6.08 —
16.8% 5.94 —
5.8% 17.27 —
27.6% 3.62 —

HT/FT double chance

45.9% 2.18 —
44.3% 2.26 —
38.8% 2.58 —
24.0% 4.16 —
43.9% 2.28 —
38.9% 2.57 —
37.6% 2.66 —
59.9% 1.67 —
66.7% 1.5 —

Total goals

92.2% 1.08 —
72.0% 1.39 —
46.6% 2.15 —
25.4% 3.94 —
28.0% 3.57 —
53.4% 1.87 —
74.6% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

62.3% 1.61 —
25.9% 3.86 —

Home team goals

65.9% 1.52 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Away team goals

77.1% 1.3 —
43.0% 2.33 —

Both to score

50.7% 1.97 —

Corners

72.9% 1.37 —
62.3% 1.61 —
51.6% 1.94 —
41.1% 2.43 —
32.0% 3.12 —
37.7% 2.65 —
48.4% 2.07 —
58.9% 1.7 —
68.0% 1.47 —

Home corners

73.7% 1.36 —
58.8% 1.7 —
44.1% 2.27 —

Away corners

62.6% 1.6 —
45.8% 2.18 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Cards

83.7% 1.19 —
69.0% 1.45 —
52.9% 1.89 —
37.3% 2.68 —
31.0% 3.23 —
47.1% 2.12 —
62.7% 1.6 —

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