Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-11 16:00
Sassuolo – Milan
Home
24%
4.18 fair
Draw
23%
4.32 fair
Away
53%
1.89 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sassuolo – Milan
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Sassuolo – Milan
Expected Goals2.92
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
23.9%
→
23.9%
0.0 pp
Draw
23.2%
→
23.2%
0.0 pp
Away
52.9%
→
52.9%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
55.8%
→
55.8%
0.0 pp
Both teams to score
56.1%
→
56.1%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.92 →
2.92
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 4.6% | 21.93 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.9% | 7.19 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.7 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.7 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.52 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.39 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.0 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
Total goals
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Both to score
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Corners
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — |
Away corners
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — |
Cards
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds