Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-11 13:00
Lecce – Bologna
Home
20%
4.88 fair
Draw
28%
3.6 fair
Away
52%
1.93 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Lecce – Bologna
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Lecce – Bologna
Expected Goals2.13
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.535%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.5%
→
20.5%
0.0 pp
Draw
27.7%
→
27.7%
0.0 pp
Away
51.8%
→
51.8%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
35.4%
→
35.4%
0.0 pp
Both teams to score
39.5%
→
39.5%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.13 →
2.13
0.0
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Both halves
| 3.1% | 32.15 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.2% | 8.2 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.38 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.09 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.9 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Total goals
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Both to score
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
Corners
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — |
Away corners
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Cards
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds