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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-10 18:45

Napoli – Frosinone

Home 55% 1.83 fair
Draw 23% 4.26 fair
Away 22% 4.57 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Napoli – Frosinone
FINAL Actual Result 3–0 Napoli – Frosinone
Expected Goals2.72
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.551%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 54.6% → 54.6% 0.0 pp
Draw 23.5% → 23.5% 0.0 pp
Away 21.9% → 21.9% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 51.1% → 51.1% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 51.3% → 51.3% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.72 → 2.72 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.37 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

54.6% 1.83 —
23.5% 4.26 —
21.9% 4.57 —
78.1% 1.28 —
45.4% 2.21 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

34.8% 2.88 —
38.3% 2.61 —
27.0% 3.71 —

Half-time double chance

73.0% 1.37 —
65.2% 1.53 —
61.7% 1.62 —

Both halves

17.3% 5.77 —

HT/FT

31.3% 3.2 —
19.1% 5.23 —
13.9% 7.22 —
5.3% 18.98 —
4.2% 23.64 —
6.8% 14.75 —
16.0% 6.26 —

HT/FT double chance

67.1% 1.49 —
56.3% 1.77 —
22.6% 4.43 —
45.1% 2.22 —
52.1% 1.92 —
26.2% 3.82 —
44.0% 2.27 —
44.6% 2.24 —
41.9% 2.39 —

Total goals

93.2% 1.07 —
75.1% 1.33 —
51.1% 1.96 —
28.9% 3.46 —
24.9% 4.02 —
48.9% 2.04 —
71.1% 1.41 —

1st-half goals

74.7% 1.34 —
39.9% 2.5 —

Home team goals

81.9% 1.22 —
51.3% 1.95 —

Away team goals

62.6% 1.6 —
26.3% 3.81 —

Both to score

51.3% 1.95 —

Corners

75.8% 1.32 —
66.2% 1.51 —
55.5% 1.8 —
45.1% 2.22 —
35.4% 2.82 —
33.8% 2.96 —
44.5% 2.25 —
54.9% 1.82 —
64.6% 1.55 —

Home corners

84.5% 1.18 —
73.7% 1.36 —
61.1% 1.64 —

Away corners

47.2% 2.12 —
30.6% 3.26 —
18.6% 5.37 —

Cards

70.1% 1.43 —
51.2% 1.95 —
34.3% 2.92 —
21.1% 4.73 —
48.8% 2.05 —
65.7% 1.52 —
78.9% 1.27 —

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