Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-10 13:00
Genoa – Fiorentina
Home
32%
3.1 fair
Draw
27%
3.71 fair
Away
41%
2.45 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Genoa – Fiorentina
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Genoa – Fiorentina
Expected Goals2.46
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.3%
→
32.3%
0.0 pp
Draw
27.0%
→
27.0%
0.0 pp
Away
40.8%
→
40.8%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
44.4%
→
44.4%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
49.8%
→
49.8%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.46 →
2.46
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 6.7% | 14.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.33 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.89 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.58 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.09 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Total goals
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.5 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
Both to score
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Corners
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — |
Home corners
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — |
Away corners
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — |
Cards
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds