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Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-10-11 13:00

Aberdeen – St Johnstone

Home 49% 2.05 fair
Draw 27% 3.71 fair
Away 24% 4.13 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Aberdeen – St Johnstone
FINAL Actual Result 0–1 Aberdeen – St Johnstone
Expected Goals2.35
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.8% → 48.8% 0.0 pp
Draw 27.0% → 27.0% 0.0 pp
Away 24.2% → 24.2% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 41.7% → 41.7% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 45.8% → 45.8% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.35 → 2.35 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.45 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.21 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.8% 2.05 —
27.0% 3.71 —
24.2% 4.13 —
75.8% 1.32 —
51.2% 1.95 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Half-time result

36.1% 2.77 —
47.9% 2.09 —
16.0% 6.26 —

Half-time double chance

84.0% 1.19 —
63.9% 1.56 —
52.0% 1.92 —

Both halves

13.3% 7.5 —

HT/FT

29.0% 3.44 —
5.2% 19.34 —
18.1% 5.52 —
18.1% 5.54 —
11.8% 8.48 —
3.8% 26.6 —
10.6% 9.46 —

HT/FT double chance

70.4% 1.42 —
60.8% 1.65 —
36.9% 2.71 —
39.6% 2.52 —
43.1% 2.32 —
21.3% 4.68 —
41.6% 2.41 —
42.1% 2.37 —
44.2% 2.26 —

Total goals

90.4% 1.11 —
68.1% 1.47 —
41.7% 2.4 —
21.0% 4.75 —
31.9% 3.13 —
58.3% 1.71 —
79.0% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

60.3% 1.66 —
24.2% 4.13 —

Home team goals

76.2% 1.31 —
41.8% 2.39 —

Away team goals

60.0% 1.67 —
23.8% 4.21 —

Both to score

45.8% 2.18 —

Corners

76.8% 1.3 —
67.0% 1.49 —
56.5% 1.77 —
46.1% 2.17 —
36.5% 2.74 —
33.0% 3.03 —
43.5% 2.3 —
53.9% 1.85 —
63.5% 1.58 —

Home corners

81.5% 1.23 —
69.0% 1.45 —
55.3% 1.81 —

Away corners

57.5% 1.74 —
40.4% 2.48 —
26.6% 3.76 —

Cards

76.2% 1.31 —
58.2% 1.72 —
40.5% 2.47 —
25.8% 3.88 —
41.8% 2.39 —
59.5% 1.68 —
74.2% 1.35 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds