Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-10-10 14:00
Hearts – St Mirren
Home
64%
1.57 fair
Draw
22%
4.47 fair
Away
14%
7.25 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Hearts – St Mirren
FINAL
Actual Result
5–0
Hearts – St Mirren
Expected Goals2.54
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.8%
→
63.8%
+0.0 pp
Draw
22.4%
→
22.4%
-0.0 pp
Away
13.8%
→
13.8%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
46.5%
→
46.5%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
42.8%
→
42.8%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.54 →
2.54
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.95 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.83 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.16 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.17 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.09 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Total goals
| 92.0% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — |
Both to score
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — |
Corners
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
Home corners
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — |
Away corners
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — |
Cards
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds