Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-12 19:15
Famalicao – Alverca
Home
53%
1.88 fair
Draw
27%
3.74 fair
Away
20%
4.96 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Famalicao – Alverca
FINAL
Actual Result
1–4
Famalicao – Alverca
Expected Goals2.26
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
53.0%
→
53.1%
+0.0 pp
Draw
26.8%
→
26.8%
-0.0 pp
Away
20.2%
→
20.2%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
39.6%
→
39.6%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
42.3%
→
42.3%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.26 →
2.26
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.96 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.3% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.86 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — |
Both halves
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.93 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.87 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — |
Total goals
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
1st-half goals
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — |
Both to score
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — |
Corners
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Away corners
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
Cards
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds