Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-11 17:00
Benfica – Guimaraes
Home
76%
1.31 fair
Draw
15%
6.61 fair
Away
8%
11.83 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Benfica – Guimaraes
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Benfica – Guimaraes
Expected Goals3.15
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
76.4%
→
76.4%
0.0 pp
Draw
15.1%
→
15.1%
-0.0 pp
Away
8.4%
→
8.5%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
61.0%
→
61.0%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
45.2%
→
45.2%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.15 →
3.15
0.0
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.83 | — | |||
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — |
Half-time result
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.78 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
Both halves
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — |
HT/FT
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.99 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.6 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.72 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.76 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — |
Total goals
| 95.4% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — |
Away team goals
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.64 | — |
Both to score
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Corners
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
Away corners
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.46 | — |
Cards
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds