Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-11 14:30
Rio Ave – Nacional
Home
39%
2.6 fair
Draw
27%
3.68 fair
Away
34%
2.92 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Rio Ave – Nacional
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Rio Ave – Nacional
Expected Goals2.42
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.5%
→
38.5%
0.0 pp
Draw
27.2%
→
27.2%
+0.0 pp
Away
34.3%
→
34.3%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
43.6%
→
43.6%
0.0 pp
Both teams to score
48.9%
→
48.9%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.42 →
2.42
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 9.3% | 10.73 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.34 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.59 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.78 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.79 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.05 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
Total goals
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Both to score
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — |
Corners
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Away corners
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Cards
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds