Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-10 17:00
Maritimo – Porto
Home
9%
10.75 fair
Draw
17%
6.02 fair
Away
74%
1.35 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-2
Maritimo – Porto
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Maritimo – Porto
Expected Goals2.93
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
9.3%
→
9.3%
+0.0 pp
Draw
16.6%
→
16.6%
+0.1 pp
Away
74.2%
→
74.1%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
56.0%
→
56.0%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
43.2%
→
43.2%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.93 →
2.93
0.0
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 9.3% | 10.75 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.02 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 90.7% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 5.9% | 17.09 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — |
HT/FT
| 3.3% | 30.4 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.63 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.79 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 20.0% | 4.99 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.43 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 88.1% | 1.13 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Home team goals
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.97 | — |
Away team goals
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
Both to score
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — |
Corners
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 51.7% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — |
Away corners
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — |
Cards
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds