Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-09 19:15
Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon
Home
26%
3.89 fair
Draw
23%
4.39 fair
Away
52%
1.94 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals3.06
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
25.6%
→
25.7%
+0.1 pp
Draw
22.9%
→
22.8%
-0.1 pp
Away
51.5%
→
51.5%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
59.2%
→
59.3%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
59.7%
→
59.6%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.06 →
3.06
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 5.2% | 19.34 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.5% | 8.01 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.41 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.91 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.66 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.4% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
Both to score
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Corners
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — |
Home corners
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — |
Away corners
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Cards
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds