Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-09 17:45
Moreirense – Gil Vicente
Home
35%
2.9 fair
Draw
29%
3.41 fair
Away
36%
2.77 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Moreirense – Gil Vicente
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Moreirense – Gil Vicente
Expected Goals2.23
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.539%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.6%
→
34.5%
-0.0 pp
Draw
29.4%
→
29.3%
-0.1 pp
Away
36.0%
→
36.1%
+0.1 pp
Over 2.5
38.6%
→
38.6%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
45.2%
→
45.3%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.23 →
2.23
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — |
Half-time result
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
Both halves
| 7.6% | 13.12 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.3% | 5.18 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.16 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.41 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.03 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Total goals
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.26 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — |
Both to score
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — |
Corners
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.55 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — |
Home corners
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — |
Away corners
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Cards
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds