Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-03 14:00
Hartlepool – Tamworth
Home
42%
2.4 fair
Draw
25%
4.04 fair
Away
34%
2.97 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Hartlepool – Tamworth
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Hartlepool – Tamworth
Expected Goals2.86
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.8%
→
41.6%
-0.1 pp
Draw
24.8%
→
24.8%
-0.0 pp
Away
33.5%
→
33.6%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
54.4%
→
54.7%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
57.7%
→
57.5%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.86 →
2.86
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 11.1% | 9.04 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.62 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.46 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.91 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.06 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — |
Both to score
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — |
Corners
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Away corners
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — |
Cards
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds