Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-03 14:00
Harrogate – Hornchurch
Home
59%
1.69 fair
Draw
21%
4.85 fair
Away
20%
4.94 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Harrogate – Hornchurch
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Harrogate – Hornchurch
Expected Goals3.31
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.3%
→
59.1%
+11.8 pp
Draw
22.4%
→
20.6%
-1.8 pp
Away
30.3%
→
20.3%
-10.0 pp
Over 2.5
65.6%
→
64.1%
-1.5 pp
Both teams to score
65.7%
→
61.0%
-4.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.38 →
3.31
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 21.6% | 4.62 | — |
HT/FT
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.75 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.87 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.08 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.15 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.9 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.21 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — |
Total goals
| 96.3% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.32 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Both to score
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Corners
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — |
Away corners
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — |
Cards
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.35 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds