Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-03 14:00
Gateshead – Worthing
Home
25%
3.94 fair
Draw
21%
4.76 fair
Away
54%
1.87 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Gateshead – Worthing
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Gateshead – Worthing
Expected Goals3.53
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.568%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.4%
→
25.4%
-3.0 pp
Draw
21.2%
→
21.0%
-0.2 pp
Away
50.4%
→
53.6%
+3.2 pp
Over 2.5
71.0%
→
68.0%
-2.9 pp
Both teams to score
69.4%
→
67.0%
-2.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.69 →
3.53
-0.16
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 12.4% | 8.07 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
Both halves
| 4.3% | 23.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.9% | 11.26 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.71 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.1 | — | |||
| 10.3% | 9.74 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 8.8% | 11.35 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — |
Total goals
| 97.0% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.6% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.47 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 88.1% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Both to score
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
Corners
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Home corners
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
Away corners
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — |
Cards
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds