Fixtures / National League / 2026-09-30 18:45
Tamworth – Sutton
Home
46%
2.18 fair
Draw
23%
4.3 fair
Away
31%
3.25 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Tamworth – Sutton
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Tamworth – Sutton
Expected Goals3.14
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.1%
→
46.0%
-1.2 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
23.3%
-0.2 pp
Away
29.4%
→
30.8%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
59.4%
→
60.5%
+1.1 pp
Both teams to score
60.7%
→
62.1%
+1.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.07 →
3.14
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.88 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.92 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 10.05 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.53 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.15 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.67 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Both to score
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Home corners
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Away corners
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — |
Cards
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds