Fixtures / National League / 2026-09-29 18:45
Hornchurch – Aldershot
Home
41%
2.42 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
34%
2.96 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Hornchurch – Aldershot
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Hornchurch – Aldershot
Expected Goals2.83
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.2%
→
41.3%
-8.9 pp
Draw
23.5%
→
24.8%
+1.3 pp
Away
26.2%
→
33.8%
+7.6 pp
Over 2.5
54.5%
→
53.8%
-0.7 pp
Both teams to score
56.2%
→
57.2%
+1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.87 →
2.83
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 11.0% | 9.1 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.62 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.2 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.73 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — |
Both to score
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — |
Away corners
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
Cards
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds