Fixtures / National League / 2026-09-29 18:45
Hartlepool – Harrogate
Home
29%
3.43 fair
Draw
22%
4.51 fair
Away
49%
2.06 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Hartlepool – Harrogate
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Hartlepool – Harrogate
Expected Goals3.48
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
33.3%
→
29.2%
-4.1 pp
Draw
23.1%
→
22.2%
-0.9 pp
Away
43.6%
→
48.6%
+5.0 pp
Over 2.5
65.6%
→
67.3%
+1.8 pp
Both teams to score
66.5%
→
66.8%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.38 →
3.48
+0.1
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.51 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 7.0% | 14.25 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.56 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.53 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.7 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.34 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.54 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.57 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — |
Total goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.24 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Both to score
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — |
Corners
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Away corners
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — |
Cards
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds