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Fixtures / National League / 2026-09-29 18:45

Barrow – Scunthorpe

Home 44% 2.25 fair
Draw 24% 4.14 fair
Away 31% 3.18 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Barrow – Scunthorpe
FINAL Actual Result 3–0 Barrow – Scunthorpe
Expected Goals3.01
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.1% → 44.4% +6.3 pp
Draw 26.5% → 24.2% -2.3 pp
Away 35.4% → 31.4% -4.0 pp
Over 2.5 48.6% → 57.8% +9.2 pp
Both teams to score 54.0% → 60.0% +5.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.63 → 3.01 +0.38
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.03 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.52 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.4% 2.25 —
24.2% 4.14 —
31.4% 3.18 —
68.6% 1.46 —
55.6% 1.8 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Half-time result

39.9% 2.51 —
46.7% 2.14 —
13.4% 7.47 —

Half-time double chance

86.6% 1.15 —
60.1% 1.66 —
53.3% 1.88 —

Both halves

12.8% 7.82 —

HT/FT

28.1% 3.56 —
7.2% 13.85 —
4.6% 21.79 —
14.8% 6.77 —
14.5% 6.92 —
17.5% 5.72 —
9.4% 10.67 —

HT/FT double chance

64.6% 1.55 —
64.9% 1.54 —
43.8% 2.29 —
39.3% 2.54 —
43.6% 2.29 —
23.7% 4.23 —
33.2% 3.01 —
43.1% 2.32 —
43.8% 2.28 —

Total goals

94.7% 1.06 —
80.0% 1.25 —
57.8% 1.73 —
35.6% 2.81 —
20.0% 5.0 —
42.2% 2.37 —
64.4% 1.55 —

1st-half goals

60.7% 1.65 —
24.3% 4.11 —

Home team goals

80.4% 1.24 —
49.2% 2.03 —

Away team goals

74.2% 1.35 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Both to score

60.0% 1.67 —

Corners

83.7% 1.2 —
74.6% 1.34 —
64.1% 1.56 —
53.1% 1.88 —
42.3% 2.36 —
25.4% 3.93 —
35.9% 2.79 —
46.9% 2.13 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Home corners

88.8% 1.13 —
78.6% 1.27 —
65.3% 1.53 —

Away corners

59.8% 1.67 —
41.0% 2.44 —
25.8% 3.88 —

Cards

78.8% 1.27 —
62.7% 1.59 —
45.9% 2.18 —
30.9% 3.24 —
37.3% 2.68 —
54.1% 1.85 —
69.1% 1.45 —

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