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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-10-12 18:45

Dijon – Metz

Home 26% 3.8 fair
Draw 24% 4.17 fair
Away 50% 2.01 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Dijon – Metz
FINAL Actual Result 4–2 Dijon – Metz
Expected Goals2.9
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 26.3% → 26.4% +0.0 pp
Draw 24.0% → 24.0% -0.1 pp
Away 49.7% → 49.7% +0.0 pp
Over 2.5 54.9% → 54.9% -0.0 pp
Both teams to score 56.7% → 56.6% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.9 → 2.9 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.09 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.85 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.4% 3.8 —
24.0% 4.17 —
49.7% 2.01 —
50.3% 1.99 —
73.7% 1.36 —
76.0% 1.32 —

Half-time result

12.6% 7.97 —
45.8% 2.18 —
41.6% 2.4 —

Half-time double chance

58.4% 1.71 —
87.5% 1.14 —
54.2% 1.85 —

Both halves

4.0% 24.81 —

HT/FT

8.5% 11.74 —
14.2% 7.06 —
14.7% 6.82 —
17.0% 5.89 —
3.6% 27.4 —
6.8% 14.81 —
31.2% 3.2 —

HT/FT double chance

39.9% 2.51 —
41.2% 2.43 —
35.7% 2.8 —
21.5% 4.66 —
44.9% 2.23 —
42.0% 2.38 —
39.2% 2.55 —
66.0% 1.51 —
69.6% 1.44 —

Total goals

94.2% 1.06 —
77.5% 1.29 —
54.9% 1.82 —
33.0% 3.03 —
22.5% 4.44 —
45.1% 2.22 —
67.0% 1.49 —

1st-half goals

61.3% 1.63 —
24.6% 4.07 —

Home team goals

68.9% 1.45 —
33.1% 3.02 —

Away team goals

82.0% 1.22 —
50.6% 1.98 —

Both to score

56.6% 1.77 —

Corners

64.5% 1.55 —
53.4% 1.87 —
41.8% 2.39 —
32.0% 3.13 —
23.8% 4.21 —
46.6% 2.14 —
58.2% 1.72 —
68.0% 1.47 —
76.2% 1.31 —

Home corners

68.0% 1.47 —
51.5% 1.94 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Away corners

57.4% 1.74 —
40.0% 2.5 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Cards

69.8% 1.43 —
51.0% 1.96 —
34.2% 2.92 —
21.6% 4.63 —
49.0% 2.04 —
65.8% 1.52 —
78.4% 1.28 —

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