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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-11

Troyes – Marseille

Home 12% 8.46 fair
Draw 16% 6.45 fair
Away 73% 1.38 fair
Expected Goals3.61
Most Likely Score0-2
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.569%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.61
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.0 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.77 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

11.8% 8.46 —
15.5% 6.45 —
72.7% 1.38 —
27.3% 3.66 —
88.2% 1.13 —
84.5% 1.18 —

Half-time result

18.2% 5.49 —
37.1% 2.69 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Half-time double chance

55.3% 1.81 —
81.8% 1.22 —
62.9% 1.59 —

HT/FT

7.3% 13.64 —
4.7% 21.1 —
6.1% 16.34 —
3.9% 25.91 —
8.4% 11.92 —
24.9% 4.02 —
41.7% 2.4 —

HT/FT double chance

24.3% 4.11 —
42.2% 2.37 —
44.1% 2.27 —
15.1% 6.64 —
55.8% 1.79 —
54.9% 1.82 —
15.2% 6.56 —
71.0% 1.41 —
77.3% 1.29 —

Total goals

87.3% 1.15 —
69.5% 1.44 —
48.4% 2.06 —
12.7% 7.89 —
30.5% 3.28 —
51.5% 1.94 —

1st-half goals

75.3% 1.33 —
41.4% 2.41 —

Home team goals

62.1% 1.61 —
25.4% 3.94 —

Away team goals

92.7% 1.08 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Both to score

57.6% 1.74 —

Corners

63.7% 1.57 —
52.7% 1.9 —
41.4% 2.42 —
31.4% 3.18 —
22.6% 4.43 —
47.3% 2.11 —
58.6% 1.71 —
68.6% 1.46 —
77.4% 1.29 —

Home corners

63.5% 1.57 —
47.4% 2.11 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Away corners

59.4% 1.68 —
43.2% 2.32 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Cards

68.9% 1.45 —
50.2% 1.99 —
33.0% 3.03 —
19.9% 5.03 —
49.8% 2.01 —
67.0% 1.49 —
80.1% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds