Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-11 18:45
Troyes – Marseille
Home
12%
8.53 fair
Draw
16%
6.43 fair
Away
73%
1.38 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-2
Troyes – Marseille
FINAL
Actual Result
0–2
Troyes – Marseille
Expected Goals3.61
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.570%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
11.8%
→
11.7%
-0.1 pp
Draw
15.5%
→
15.6%
+0.1 pp
Away
72.7%
→
72.7%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
69.5%
→
69.5%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
57.6%
→
57.6%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.61 →
3.61
0.0
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 11.7% | 8.53 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.43 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
HT/FT
| 7.3% | 13.62 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.34 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.53 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.9 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.58 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Total goals
| 87.3% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Away team goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Both to score
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
Corners
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Away corners
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Cards
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds