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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-11 13:00

Nice – Strasbourg

Home 36% 2.81 fair
Draw 25% 3.95 fair
Away 39% 2.55 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Nice – Strasbourg
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Nice – Strasbourg
Expected Goals2.84
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.5% → 35.5% 0.0 pp
Draw 25.3% → 25.3% 0.0 pp
Away 39.2% → 39.2% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 54.0% → 54.0% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 57.6% → 57.6% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.84 → 2.84 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.32 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.17 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

35.5% 2.81 —
25.3% 3.95 —
39.2% 2.55 —
60.8% 1.64 —
64.5% 1.55 —
74.7% 1.34 —

Half-time result

30.6% 3.27 —
40.6% 2.46 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Half-time double chance

71.2% 1.4 —
69.4% 1.44 —
59.4% 1.68 —

Both halves

8.7% 11.44 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.51 —
5.9% 17.04 —
11.4% 8.75 —
14.9% 6.72 —
14.3% 7.01 —
4.5% 22.03 —
22.4% 4.47 —

HT/FT double chance

54.3% 1.84 —
50.4% 1.98 —
37.6% 2.66 —
34.5% 2.9 —
49.0% 2.04 —
35.3% 2.83 —
32.8% 3.05 —
50.0% 2.0 —
56.0% 1.78 —

Total goals

93.9% 1.07 —
77.2% 1.3 —
54.0% 1.85 —
32.2% 3.1 —
22.8% 4.38 —
46.0% 2.18 —
67.8% 1.48 —

1st-half goals

72.5% 1.38 —
37.8% 2.65 —

Home team goals

74.9% 1.34 —
40.4% 2.48 —

Away team goals

76.6% 1.31 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Both to score

57.6% 1.74 —

Corners

66.8% 1.5 —
55.8% 1.79 —
44.7% 2.24 —
34.4% 2.91 —
25.4% 3.94 —
44.2% 2.26 —
55.3% 1.81 —
65.6% 1.52 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Home corners

73.3% 1.36 —
58.7% 1.7 —
44.4% 2.25 —

Away corners

52.1% 1.92 —
35.1% 2.85 —
21.7% 4.61 —

Cards

74.4% 1.34 —
56.6% 1.77 —
39.7% 2.52 —
25.6% 3.9 —
43.4% 2.3 —
60.3% 1.66 —
74.4% 1.34 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds