Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-10 18:45
Paris SG – Le Mans
Home
75%
1.33 fair
Draw
14%
7.16 fair
Away
11%
9.06 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
3-1
Paris SG – Le Mans
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Paris SG – Le Mans
Expected Goals4.21
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.579%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
75.0%
→
75.0%
-0.0 pp
Draw
14.0%
→
14.0%
+0.0 pp
Away
11.0%
→
11.0%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
78.8%
→
78.8%
0.0 pp
Both teams to score
65.2%
→
65.2%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
4.21 →
4.21
0.0
Most Likely Score
3-1
→
3-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.16 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.06 | — | |||
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — |
Half-time result
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
Both halves
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — |
HT/FT
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.51 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.21 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.4 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — |
Total goals
| 92.0% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.53 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 89.7% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
Home team goals
| 95.2% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — |
Both to score
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — |
Corners
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — |
Away corners
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.97 | — |
Cards
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.69 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds