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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-10 18:45

Monaco – Toulouse

Home 56% 1.77 fair
Draw 22% 4.6 fair
Away 22% 4.56 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Monaco – Toulouse
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Monaco – Toulouse
Expected Goals3.13
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 56.4% → 56.4% 0.0 pp
Draw 21.7% → 21.7% -0.0 pp
Away 21.9% → 21.9% +0.0 pp
Over 2.5 60.2% → 60.2% -0.0 pp
Both teams to score 58.9% → 58.9% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.13 → 3.13 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.13
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.12 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.41 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

56.4% 1.77 —
21.7% 4.6 —
21.9% 4.56 —
78.1% 1.28 —
43.6% 2.29 —
78.3% 1.28 —

Half-time result

37.8% 2.65 —
41.9% 2.38 —
20.3% 4.92 —

Half-time double chance

79.7% 1.25 —
62.3% 1.61 —
58.1% 1.72 —

Both halves

18.6% 5.38 —

HT/FT

31.7% 3.15 —
4.4% 22.57 —
20.7% 4.83 —
12.5% 7.99 —
8.7% 11.44 —
3.9% 25.38 —
4.8% 21.01 —
11.6% 8.63 —

HT/FT double chance

69.4% 1.44 —
62.7% 1.59 —
27.3% 3.67 —
44.9% 2.23 —
48.9% 2.05 —
22.4% 4.47 —
41.9% 2.39 —
45.0% 2.22 —
37.6% 2.66 —

Total goals

95.4% 1.05 —
81.6% 1.23 —
60.2% 1.66 —
38.2% 2.62 —
18.4% 5.43 —
39.8% 2.51 —
61.8% 1.62 —

1st-half goals

69.0% 1.45 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Home team goals

85.6% 1.17 —
58.7% 1.7 —

Away team goals

68.7% 1.46 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Both to score

58.9% 1.7 —

Corners

65.0% 1.54 —
53.4% 1.87 —
42.4% 2.36 —
32.4% 3.09 —
24.0% 4.17 —
46.6% 2.14 —
57.6% 1.74 —
67.6% 1.48 —
76.0% 1.32 —

Home corners

70.2% 1.43 —
55.0% 1.82 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Away corners

52.9% 1.89 —
36.4% 2.75 —
23.1% 4.32 —

Cards

77.1% 1.3 —
60.4% 1.66 —
43.9% 2.28 —
29.3% 3.41 —
39.6% 2.52 —
56.1% 1.78 —
70.7% 1.41 —

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