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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-10 15:15

Lille – Le Havre

Home 62% 1.61 fair
Draw 23% 4.3 fair
Away 15% 6.79 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Lille – Le Havre
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Lille – Le Havre
Expected Goals2.38
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 62.1% → 62.1% 0.0 pp
Draw 23.2% → 23.2% 0.0 pp
Away 14.7% → 14.7% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 42.8% → 42.8% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 40.3% → 40.3% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.38 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.1 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

62.1% 1.61 —
23.2% 4.3 —
14.7% 6.79 —
85.3% 1.17 —
38.0% 2.64 —
76.8% 1.3 —

Half-time result

41.3% 2.42 —
46.0% 2.17 —
12.7% 7.87 —

Half-time double chance

87.3% 1.15 —
58.7% 1.7 —
54.0% 1.85 —

Both halves

20.2% 4.95 —

HT/FT

36.5% 2.74 —
3.8% 26.04 —
23.1% 4.33 —
16.0% 6.25 —
6.9% 14.47 —
3.4% 29.5 —
6.9% 14.51 —

HT/FT double chance

79.5% 1.26 —
67.5% 1.48 —
27.7% 3.61 —
46.2% 2.17 —
46.8% 2.14 —
15.0% 6.65 —
44.9% 2.23 —
39.3% 2.54 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Total goals

90.9% 1.1 —
68.9% 1.45 —
42.8% 2.34 —
21.5% 4.64 —
31.1% 3.22 —
57.2% 1.75 —
78.5% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

61.5% 1.63 —
25.3% 3.96 —

Home team goals

81.7% 1.22 —
50.7% 1.97 —

Away team goals

49.5% 2.02 —
15.1% 6.61 —

Both to score

40.3% 2.48 —

Corners

64.5% 1.55 —
53.1% 1.88 —
42.2% 2.37 —
32.3% 3.1 —
23.7% 4.22 —
46.9% 2.13 —
57.8% 1.73 —
67.7% 1.48 —
76.3% 1.31 —

Home corners

74.0% 1.35 —
59.1% 1.69 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Away corners

47.2% 2.12 —
30.5% 3.28 —
18.4% 5.44 —

Cards

80.2% 1.25 —
64.8% 1.54 —
48.5% 2.06 —
34.0% 2.94 —
35.2% 2.84 —
51.5% 1.94 —
66.0% 1.51 —

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