Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-09 18:45
Lens – Lyon
Home
45%
2.22 fair
Draw
25%
4.05 fair
Away
30%
3.3 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Lens – Lyon
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Lens – Lyon
Expected Goals2.84
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.1%
→
45.1%
0.0 pp
Draw
24.7%
→
24.7%
0.0 pp
Away
30.3%
→
30.3%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
53.9%
→
53.9%
0.0 pp
Both teams to score
56.8%
→
56.8%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.84 →
2.84
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.53 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.78 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.06 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.12 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.4 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.0 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — |
Total goals
| 94.1% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Both to score
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
Away corners
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Cards
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds