Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-10 14:00
York – Northampton
Home
61%
1.64 fair
Draw
25%
4.07 fair
Away
14%
6.91 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
York – Northampton
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
York – Northampton
Expected Goals2.31
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
57.4%
→
61.0%
+3.6 pp
Draw
25.7%
→
24.6%
-1.1 pp
Away
16.9%
→
14.5%
-2.5 pp
Over 2.5
39.4%
→
40.7%
+1.3 pp
Both teams to score
40.0%
→
39.0%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.26 →
2.31
+0.05
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.91 | — | |||
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.02 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.32 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.02 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.54 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.33 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.01 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — |
Total goals
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.93 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Away team goals
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.98 | — |
Both to score
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — |
Corners
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Away corners
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — |
Cards
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds