Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-10 14:00
Port Vale – Grimsby
Home
39%
2.56 fair
Draw
29%
3.51 fair
Away
32%
3.09 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Port Vale – Grimsby
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Port Vale – Grimsby
Expected Goals2.31
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.2%
→
39.1%
+0.9 pp
Draw
28.0%
→
28.5%
+0.5 pp
Away
33.8%
→
32.4%
-1.4 pp
Over 2.5
39.9%
→
40.6%
+0.6 pp
Both teams to score
46.0%
→
47.0%
+1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.29 →
2.31
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.5% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
Both halves
| 9.7% | 10.27 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.69 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.82 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.57 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — |
Total goals
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.38 | — |
Both to score
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.3 | — |
Away corners
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Cards
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds