Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-10 14:00
Newport County – Colchester
Home
31%
3.2 fair
Draw
27%
3.67 fair
Away
42%
2.41 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Newport County – Colchester
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Newport County – Colchester
Expected Goals2.49
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.2%
→
31.2%
+1.0 pp
Draw
27.1%
→
27.2%
+0.2 pp
Away
42.7%
→
41.5%
-1.2 pp
Over 2.5
45.3%
→
45.5%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
50.2%
→
50.7%
+0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.5 →
2.49
-0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — |
Both halves
| 6.9% | 14.56 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.9% | 5.59 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.59 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.45 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.86 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.83 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Total goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — |
Both to score
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Corners
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — |
Away corners
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — |
Cards
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds