Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-10 14:00
Crawley Town – Chesterfield
Home
24%
4.13 fair
Draw
25%
4.04 fair
Away
51%
1.96 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Crawley Town – Chesterfield
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Crawley Town – Chesterfield
Expected Goals2.7
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.1%
→
24.2%
+0.2 pp
Draw
24.7%
→
24.8%
+0.1 pp
Away
51.2%
→
51.0%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
49.3%
→
50.4%
+1.1 pp
Both teams to score
52.0%
→
52.7%
+0.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.64 →
2.7
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
Both halves
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.3% | 7.5 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.34 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.68 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.44 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.42 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — |
Total goals
| 93.3% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — |
Both to score
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
Home corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Away corners
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — |
Cards
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds