Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-10 11:30
Swindon – Crewe
Home
42%
2.41 fair
Draw
26%
3.83 fair
Away
32%
3.09 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Swindon – Crewe
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Swindon – Crewe
Expected Goals2.65
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.7%
→
41.5%
-1.2 pp
Draw
26.3%
→
26.1%
-0.2 pp
Away
31.0%
→
32.3%
+1.4 pp
Over 2.5
50.0%
→
49.5%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
54.0%
→
53.4%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.68 →
2.65
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 11.3% | 8.87 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.23 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.16 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.94 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.41 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.18 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Both to score
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — |
Corners
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — |
Away corners
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Cards
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds