Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-03 14:00
Rochdale – Swindon
Home
31%
3.2 fair
Draw
25%
4.05 fair
Away
44%
2.27 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Rochdale – Swindon
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Rochdale – Swindon
Expected Goals2.9
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
27.1%
→
31.2%
+4.1 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
24.7%
+0.6 pp
Away
48.8%
→
44.0%
-4.8 pp
Over 2.5
54.8%
→
55.0%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
56.8%
→
58.0%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.87 →
2.9
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 7.2% | 13.85 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.13 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.47 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.59 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.36 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.27 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Both to score
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
Home corners
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Away corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — |
Cards
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.73 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — |
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