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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-03 14:00

Northampton – Oldham

Home 27% 3.71 fair
Draw 36% 2.8 fair
Away 37% 2.68 fair
Expected Goals1.54
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score28%
Over 2.520%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 25.2% → 27.0% +1.7 pp
Draw 36.1% → 35.7% -0.5 pp
Away 38.6% → 37.4% -1.3 pp
Over 2.5 19.0% → 19.8% +0.8 pp
Both teams to score 27.0% → 28.4% +1.4 pp
Expected Goals 1.5 → 1.54 +0.04
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.54
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.58 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.9 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.0% 3.71 —
35.7% 2.8 —
37.4% 2.68 —
62.6% 1.6 —
73.0% 1.37 —
64.3% 1.55 —

Half-time result

22.8% 4.39 —
52.7% 1.9 —
24.5% 4.07 —

Half-time double chance

75.5% 1.33 —
77.2% 1.29 —
47.3% 2.11 —

Both halves

4.0% 25.32 —

HT/FT

17.1% 5.84 —
4.5% 22.12 —
9.4% 10.67 —
27.9% 3.58 —
15.4% 6.49 —
3.2% 30.96 —
20.8% 4.8 —

HT/FT double chance

58.9% 1.7 —
43.0% 2.32 —
49.0% 2.04 —
25.4% 3.94 —
39.6% 2.53 —
29.7% 3.36 —
41.0% 2.44 —
46.1% 2.17 —
67.4% 1.48 —

Total goals

79.0% 1.27 —
45.7% 2.19 —
19.8% 5.06 —
7.1% 14.01 —
54.3% 1.84 —
80.2% 1.25 —
92.9% 1.08 —

1st-half goals

54.1% 1.85 —
17.8% 5.61 —

Home team goals

49.6% 2.02 —
14.9% 6.71 —

Away team goals

57.8% 1.73 —
21.4% 4.68 —

Both to score

28.4% 3.53 —

Corners

70.1% 1.43 —
58.9% 1.7 —
47.4% 2.11 —
36.8% 2.71 —
27.9% 3.58 —
41.1% 2.43 —
52.6% 1.9 —
63.1% 1.58 —
72.1% 1.39 —

Home corners

73.4% 1.36 —
57.9% 1.73 —
43.0% 2.33 —

Away corners

58.8% 1.7 —
41.1% 2.43 —
27.2% 3.68 —

Cards

72.2% 1.39 —
53.3% 1.88 —
35.3% 2.83 —
21.2% 4.71 —
46.7% 2.14 —
64.7% 1.55 —
78.8% 1.27 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds