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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-03 14:00

Grimsby – Shrewsbury

Home 62% 1.63 fair
Draw 23% 4.42 fair
Away 16% 6.3 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Grimsby – Shrewsbury
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Grimsby – Shrewsbury
Expected Goals2.63
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 62.1% → 61.5% -0.6 pp
Draw 22.7% → 22.6% -0.1 pp
Away 15.2% → 15.9% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 47.2% → 48.8% +1.6 pp
Both teams to score 44.8% → 46.3% +1.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.58 → 2.63 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.42 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.28 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

61.5% 1.63 —
22.6% 4.42 —
15.9% 6.3 —
84.1% 1.19 —
38.5% 2.6 —
77.4% 1.29 —

Half-time result

49.6% 2.02 —
36.4% 2.74 —
14.0% 7.14 —

Half-time double chance

86.0% 1.16 —
50.4% 1.98 —
63.6% 1.57 —

Both halves

21.4% 4.67 —

HT/FT

43.8% 2.28 —
4.6% 21.65 —
15.9% 6.28 —
14.4% 6.96 —
6.1% 16.29 —
3.6% 27.78 —
8.6% 11.59 —

HT/FT double chance

78.7% 1.27 —
67.0% 1.49 —
26.2% 3.81 —
53.8% 1.86 —
55.3% 1.81 —
18.0% 5.57 —
35.7% 2.8 —
32.5% 3.08 —
32.8% 3.05 —

Total goals

92.7% 1.08 —
73.9% 1.35 —
48.8% 2.05 —
27.0% 3.7 —
26.1% 3.83 —
51.2% 1.95 —
73.0% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

74.2% 1.35 —
40.1% 2.49 —

Home team goals

83.9% 1.19 —
54.5% 1.83 —

Away team goals

55.0% 1.82 —
19.3% 5.17 —

Both to score

46.3% 2.16 —

Corners

68.3% 1.46 —
57.4% 1.74 —
45.8% 2.18 —
35.5% 2.82 —
26.1% 3.83 —
42.6% 2.35 —
54.2% 1.84 —
64.5% 1.55 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Home corners

75.6% 1.32 —
60.5% 1.65 —
46.0% 2.17 —

Away corners

53.0% 1.89 —
35.0% 2.86 —
21.7% 4.6 —

Cards

77.0% 1.3 —
59.5% 1.68 —
41.9% 2.38 —
26.9% 3.72 —
40.5% 2.47 —
58.1% 1.72 —
73.1% 1.37 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds