Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-03 14:00
Accrington – Cheltenham
Home
42%
2.41 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
34%
2.97 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Accrington – Cheltenham
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Accrington – Cheltenham
Expected Goals2.88
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.1%
→
41.5%
-0.6 pp
Draw
24.4%
→
24.8%
+0.4 pp
Away
33.5%
→
33.7%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
55.5%
→
54.7%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
58.2%
→
58.1%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.9 →
2.88
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.7% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 11.3% | 8.82 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.75 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.78 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.96 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.97 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — |
Both to score
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Away corners
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — |
Cards
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds