Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-03 11:30
Chesterfield – Tranmere
Home
60%
1.65 fair
Draw
22%
4.61 fair
Away
18%
5.61 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Chesterfield – Tranmere
FINAL
Actual Result
4–2
Chesterfield – Tranmere
Expected Goals2.87
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.0%
→
60.5%
-0.5 pp
Draw
21.4%
→
21.7%
+0.3 pp
Away
17.7%
→
17.8%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
55.5%
→
54.8%
-0.7 pp
Both teams to score
52.2%
→
52.3%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.9 →
2.87
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Both halves
| 20.6% | 4.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.67 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.86 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.85 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Both to score
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 82.3% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Away corners
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — |
Cards
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds