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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-11 16:30

Mallorca – Las Palmas

Home 50% 2.0 fair
Draw 36% 2.77 fair
Away 14% 7.16 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-0 Mallorca – Las Palmas
FINAL Actual Result 3–1 Mallorca – Las Palmas
Expected Goals1.36
Both teams to score20%
Over 2.515%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 57.5% → 49.9% -7.6 pp
Draw 31.0% → 36.1% +5.2 pp
Away 11.5% → 14.0% +2.4 pp
Over 2.5 21.8% → 15.5% -6.4 pp
Both teams to score 22.5% → 19.7% -2.8 pp
Expected Goals 1.6 → 1.36 -0.24
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.64 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.88 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.9% 2.0 —
36.1% 2.77 —
14.0% 7.16 —
86.1% 1.16 —
50.1% 2.0 —
63.9% 1.57 —

Half-time result

23.1% 4.32 —
60.5% 1.65 —
16.4% 6.11 —

Half-time double chance

83.6% 1.2 —
76.9% 1.3 —
39.5% 2.53 —

Both halves

9.9% 10.08 —

HT/FT

21.8% 4.58 —
26.3% 3.8 —
30.3% 3.3 —
3.8% 26.18 —
4.6% 21.79 —
10.0% 9.96 —

HT/FT double chance

79.7% 1.25 —
52.1% 1.92 —
35.5% 2.82 —
29.4% 3.4 —
33.7% 2.97 —
15.9% 6.28 —
63.0% 1.59 —
41.9% 2.38 —
48.8% 2.05 —

Total goals

74.4% 1.34 —
39.4% 2.54 —
15.5% 6.46 —
4.8% 20.66 —
60.6% 1.65 —
84.5% 1.18 —
95.2% 1.05 —

1st-half goals

44.4% 2.25 —
11.7% 8.56 —

Home team goals

62.6% 1.6 —
25.6% 3.91 —

Away team goals

31.5% 3.17 —
5.5% 18.05 —

Both to score

19.7% 5.07 —

Corners

60.4% 1.66 —
48.2% 2.08 —
37.0% 2.71 —
27.2% 3.68 —
19.1% 5.23 —
51.8% 1.93 —
63.0% 1.59 —
72.9% 1.37 —
80.9% 1.24 —

Home corners

62.8% 1.59 —
45.8% 2.18 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Away corners

56.3% 1.78 —
38.9% 2.57 —
25.2% 3.97 —

Cards

82.9% 1.21 —
67.7% 1.48 —
51.4% 1.94 —
36.3% 2.75 —
32.3% 3.1 —
48.6% 2.06 —
63.7% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds