Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-11 16:30
Mallorca – Las Palmas
Home
50%
2.0 fair
Draw
36%
2.77 fair
Away
14%
7.16 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-0
Mallorca – Las Palmas
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Mallorca – Las Palmas
Expected Goals1.36
Both teams to score20%
Over 2.515%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
57.5%
→
49.9%
-7.6 pp
Draw
31.0%
→
36.1%
+5.2 pp
Away
11.5%
→
14.0%
+2.4 pp
Over 2.5
21.8%
→
15.5%
-6.4 pp
Both teams to score
22.5%
→
19.7%
-2.8 pp
Expected Goals
1.6 →
1.36
-0.24
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
0-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.16 | — | |||
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
Both halves
| 9.9% | 10.08 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.79 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 9.96 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — |
Total goals
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.46 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.66 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 95.2% | 1.05 | — |
1st-half goals
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.56 | — |
Home team goals
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
Away team goals
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.05 | — |
Both to score
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — |
Corners
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.23 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — |
Home corners
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — |
Away corners
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — |
Cards
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds