Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-11 14:15
Almeria – Leganes
Home
59%
1.69 fair
Draw
22%
4.47 fair
Away
19%
5.4 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Almeria – Leganes
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Almeria – Leganes
Expected Goals2.76
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
53.7%
→
59.1%
+5.4 pp
Draw
23.9%
→
22.4%
-1.5 pp
Away
22.4%
→
18.5%
-3.9 pp
Over 2.5
51.1%
→
52.2%
+1.1 pp
Both teams to score
51.6%
→
50.5%
-1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.7 →
2.76
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.78 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.92 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.04 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.23 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.96 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.74 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.61 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.35 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Total goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — |
Both to score
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
Corners
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — |
Away corners
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — |
Cards
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds