Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-04 14:15
Sp Gijon – Celta B
Home
52%
1.91 fair
Draw
24%
4.11 fair
Away
23%
4.32 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sp Gijon – Celta B
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Sp Gijon – Celta B
Expected Goals2.69
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.5%
→
52.5%
-3.1 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
24.4%
+0.6 pp
Away
20.6%
→
23.2%
+2.5 pp
Over 2.5
52.5%
→
50.5%
-2.0 pp
Both teams to score
52.6%
→
52.4%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.77 →
2.69
-0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.49 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 93.1% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
Both halves
| 12.3% | 8.1 | — |
HT/FT
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.21 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.79 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.06 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — |
Total goals
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
Both to score
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Away corners
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — |
Cards
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds