Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-04 16:30
Las Palmas – Valladolid
Home
55%
1.82 fair
Draw
26%
3.87 fair
Away
19%
5.2 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Las Palmas – Valladolid
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Las Palmas – Valladolid
Expected Goals2.3
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.5%
→
54.9%
-0.6 pp
Draw
26.9%
→
25.9%
-1.0 pp
Away
17.6%
→
19.2%
+1.6 pp
Over 2.5
37.5%
→
40.3%
+2.8 pp
Both teams to score
39.3%
→
41.9%
+2.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.19 →
2.3
+0.11
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.2 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.47 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.6% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 17.1% | 5.85 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.69 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.93 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.71 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.85 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.86 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.53 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.0% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.46 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — |
Total goals
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Away team goals
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — |
Both to score
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — |
Corners
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.38 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — |
Home corners
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — |
Away corners
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — |
Cards
| 87.5% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds