Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-09-28 18:30
Leganes – Castellon
Home
33%
3.08 fair
Draw
28%
3.63 fair
Away
40%
2.51 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Leganes – Castellon
FINAL
Actual Result
0–2
Leganes – Castellon
Expected Goals2.35
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.1%
→
32.5%
+0.4 pp
Draw
28.2%
→
27.6%
-0.6 pp
Away
39.7%
→
39.9%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
42.0%
→
42.0%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
47.9%
→
47.3%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.36 →
2.35
-0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 6.7% | 14.95 | — |
HT/FT
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.64 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.11 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.95 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.08 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
Total goals
| 90.3% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Both to score
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — |
Corners
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — |
Away corners
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Cards
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds