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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-11 19:00

Santander – Valencia

Home 37% 2.67 fair
Draw 22% 4.59 fair
Away 41% 2.45 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Santander – Valencia
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Santander – Valencia
Expected Goals3.73
Both teams to score71%
Over 2.572%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.5% → 37.4% -0.1 pp
Draw 21.7% → 21.8% +0.1 pp
Away 40.8% → 40.8% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 71.9% → 72.0% +0.0 pp
Both teams to score 71.3% → 71.4% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.73 → 3.73 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.1 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.4% 2.67 —
21.8% 4.59 —
40.8% 2.45 —
59.2% 1.69 —
62.6% 1.6 —
78.2% 1.28 —

Half-time result

51.4% 1.95 —
27.7% 3.61 —
20.9% 4.77 —

Half-time double chance

79.0% 1.27 —
48.6% 2.06 —
72.3% 1.38 —

Both halves

6.9% 14.6 —

HT/FT

33.2% 3.01 —
10.7% 9.35 —
7.5% 13.37 —
3.9% 25.91 —
9.3% 10.75 —
14.5% 6.89 —
18.8% 5.32 —

HT/FT double chance

57.0% 1.75 —
59.1% 1.69 —
42.0% 2.38 —
46.1% 2.17 —
59.8% 1.67 —
38.8% 2.58 —
15.3% 6.54 —
37.5% 2.66 —
44.4% 2.25 —

Total goals

88.4% 1.13 —
72.0% 1.39 —
51.4% 1.94 —
11.6% 8.64 —
28.1% 3.57 —
48.6% 2.06 —

1st-half goals

88.7% 1.13 —
64.3% 1.56 —

Home team goals

83.9% 1.19 —
54.7% 1.83 —

Away team goals

85.0% 1.18 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Both to score

71.4% 1.4 —

Corners

76.2% 1.31 —
66.3% 1.51 —
56.5% 1.77 —
46.3% 2.16 —
36.1% 2.77 —
33.7% 2.97 —
43.5% 2.3 —
53.7% 1.86 —
63.8% 1.57 —

Home corners

69.2% 1.44 —
53.8% 1.86 —
39.4% 2.54 —

Away corners

72.6% 1.38 —
57.8% 1.73 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Cards

82.0% 1.22 —
68.5% 1.46 —
53.4% 1.87 —
39.7% 2.52 —
31.6% 3.17 —
46.6% 2.15 —
60.3% 1.66 —

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