Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-11 14:15
Sociedad – La Coruna
Home
44%
2.25 fair
Draw
26%
3.91 fair
Away
30%
3.33 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sociedad – La Coruna
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Sociedad – La Coruna
Expected Goals2.82
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
44.5%
→
44.4%
-0.1 pp
Draw
25.5%
→
25.6%
+0.1 pp
Away
30.1%
→
30.0%
-0.0 pp
Over 2.5
53.5%
→
53.4%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
56.7%
→
56.6%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.82 →
2.82
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
Both halves
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.56 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.18 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.8 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.56 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.81 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — |
Total goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — |
Both to score
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Corners
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — |
Away corners
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — |
Cards
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds