Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-11 12:00
Elche – Celta
Home
38%
2.61 fair
Draw
25%
3.96 fair
Away
36%
2.74 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Elche – Celta
FINAL
Actual Result
0–0
Elche – Celta
Expected Goals2.88
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.3%
→
38.3%
+0.0 pp
Draw
25.2%
→
25.2%
-0.0 pp
Away
36.4%
→
36.4%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
55.1%
→
55.0%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
58.2%
→
58.2%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.88 →
2.88
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
Both halves
| 9.5% | 10.48 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.28 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.86 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.32 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.45 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Both to score
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.62 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — |
Home corners
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — |
Away corners
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — |
Cards
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds