Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-10

Real Madrid Villarreal

Home 67% 1.5 fair
Draw 17% 5.79 fair
Away 16% 6.25 fair
Expected Goals3.62
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.570%

No market odds available — goals from model only

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals expected 3.62
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7+
Total corners expected 10.25 awaiting league sample
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18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.86 awaiting league sample
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10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

66.7% 1.5
17.3% 5.79
16.0% 6.25
84.0% 1.19
33.3% 3.0
82.7% 1.21

Half-time result

54.6% 1.83
29.0% 3.44
16.3% 6.13

Half-time double chance

83.7% 1.2
45.4% 2.2
71.0% 1.41

Both halves

27.3% 3.66

HT/FT

48.9% 2.05
4.4% 22.73
14.7% 6.78
9.0% 11.11
5.3% 18.8
3.1% 32.15
3.9% 25.77
9.3% 10.71

HT/FT double chance

77.0% 1.3
70.3% 1.42
20.1% 4.99
60.3% 1.66
62.7% 1.6
19.0% 5.27
30.7% 3.25
32.5% 3.08
27.5% 3.63

Total goals

87.6% 1.14
70.0% 1.43
48.9% 2.05
12.4% 8.06
30.0% 3.33
51.1% 1.96

1st-half goals

84.2% 1.19
55.5% 1.8

Home team goals

91.4% 1.09
70.7% 1.41

Away team goals

68.2% 1.47
31.6% 3.17

Both to score

62.3% 1.6

Corners

74.3% 1.35
64.5% 1.55
54.1% 1.85
44.0% 2.27
34.4% 2.91
35.4% 2.82
45.9% 2.18
56.0% 1.78
65.6% 1.52

Home corners

83.4% 1.2
72.1% 1.39
59.7% 1.67

Away corners

47.2% 2.12
31.0% 3.22
18.6% 5.37

Cards

79.5% 1.26
65.2% 1.53
50.2% 1.99
36.1% 2.77
34.8% 2.87
49.8% 2.01
63.8% 1.57

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds