Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-10

Alaves Ath Madrid

Home 26% 3.83 fair
Draw 26% 3.84 fair
Away 48% 2.09 fair
Expected Goals2.56
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals expected 2.56
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7+
Total corners expected 9.66 awaiting league sample
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18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.96 awaiting league sample
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10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.1% 3.83
26.0% 3.84
47.9% 2.09
52.1% 1.92
73.9% 1.35
74.0% 1.35

Half-time result

23.6% 4.24
49.2% 2.03
27.2% 3.67

Half-time double chance

72.8% 1.37
76.4% 1.31
50.8% 1.97

Both halves

4.8% 20.79

HT/FT

14.0% 7.14
5.8% 17.3
3.8% 26.25
10.8% 9.27
16.6% 6.04
21.8% 4.58
3.7% 27.25
22.2% 4.49

HT/FT double chance

47.1% 2.12
50.4% 1.98
48.0% 2.08
24.8% 4.04
41.3% 2.42
35.5% 2.82
32.3% 3.1
56.2% 1.78
64.3% 1.55

Total goals

92.2% 1.08
72.7% 1.37
46.9% 2.13
25.4% 3.94
27.3% 3.67
53.0% 1.89
74.7% 1.34

1st-half goals

59.6% 1.68
23.2% 4.31

Home team goals

64.8% 1.54
28.0% 3.57

Away team goals

78.1% 1.28
44.7% 2.24

Both to score

50.8% 1.97

Corners

69.7% 1.43
59.1% 1.69
48.1% 2.08
37.9% 2.64
28.8% 3.47
40.9% 2.44
51.8% 1.93
62.1% 1.61
71.2% 1.4

Home corners

66.0% 1.51
50.3% 1.99
35.5% 2.81

Away corners

65.8% 1.52
49.7% 2.01
35.6% 2.81

Cards

80.5% 1.24
66.6% 1.5
51.5% 1.94
37.4% 2.67
33.4% 3.0
48.5% 2.06
62.6% 1.6

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds