Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-10 14:15
Alaves – Ath Madrid
Home
26%
3.83 fair
Draw
26%
3.85 fair
Away
48%
2.09 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Alaves – Ath Madrid
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Alaves – Ath Madrid
Expected Goals2.56
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
26.1%
→
26.1%
+0.1 pp
Draw
26.0%
→
25.9%
-0.1 pp
Away
47.9%
→
47.9%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
46.9%
→
46.9%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
50.8%
→
50.7%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.56 →
2.56
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Both halves
| 4.8% | 20.75 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.1% | 7.12 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.32 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.25 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.32 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — |
Total goals
| 92.2% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
Home team goals
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — |
Both to score
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Corners
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — |
Away corners
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — |
Cards
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds